2011年8月29日

Links: 8/29/2011


China vs. America: Which Is the Developing Country? -- From new roads to wise leadership, sound financials and 5-year plans, China has a winning approach. BY ROBERT J. HERBOLD,  From: Wall Street Journal 这位罗伯特是微软的前首席COO,是不是商人做久了就跟当官久了一样?尽信表面不如不信。文章sounds true, but funny and ironical. 


"当医生不知道一个检查、一片药丸要多少钱的时候,医改就成功了。至于民众是否看得起病,那就是保障体系建设的问题了。"某L厅长说。--------这个命题,很显然,是非常错误的,医生能有效掌控卫生系统80%的卫生费用(有US的实证依据),你怎么能指望他们不管成本?还有最重要的证据是英国正在进行的医改--成立全科医师联盟,并撤销原有的NHS信托机构(卫生费用的守门人,原来是由他们和医生打交道并付费),将其掌握病人费用的权力交给全科医生,这也重重的抽了这位自以为是不学无术的厅长大人一记耳光。


we need to always remember that data and statistical tests never prove a theory. Typically, many different theories can explain almost any observed phenomenon. Data  allows us only to reject a theory. The theories that survive are those that haven't been rejected yet, and that's a good reason for humility.  ---The Role of Economics in an Imperfect World, by Edward Glaeser