2011年11月3日

The Effects of Entry and Exit (Turnover)

The dynamics of firms' entry and exit (if turnover rate and retention rate can be calculated like in a firm) will influence the competition, innovation, diffusion of advanced technology, and productivity. However, "The health care market exhibits important differences as compared to other markets, including various forms of market failure and, as a consequence, extensive market regulation. Thus, the economic effects of entries and exits in health care markets are less obvious. "

It is a very interesting topic to examine the economic effects of entry and exit in health care market. Martin in this paper attempted to establish a framework to study the impacts on the public-private and GP-specialists relationships. 



预防医疗不省钱

It is well established that preventive care reduces the prevalence of disease and helps people live longer, healthier lives. Analysis of the cost-effectiveness of preventive care can guide policy-makers to allocate scarce resources. This synthesis reviews the evidence on the cost-effectiveness of clinical preventive care. Key findings include: although many preventive services are a good value (defined as costing less than $50,000 to $100,000 per Quality Adjusted Life Year), only a few, such as childhood immunizations and counseling adults on the use of low-dose aspirin are widely regarded as cost-saving. Costs to reduce risk factors, screening costs, and the cost of treatment when disease is found can offset any savings from preventive care. Prevention can reduce the incidence of disease, but savings may be partially offset by health care costs associated with increased longevity. Whether these additional competing risk costs outweigh the savings from avoiding the targeted disease depends on how healthy people are during the added life years. Given that so few preventive services save money and that these services are already in wide use, it is unlikely that prevention can reduce health care spending. The authors question whether the emphasis on savings is appropriate and suggest it is better to focus on high value preventive care, taking into account increased longevity and quality of life.


    Thus we must pay attention to the differences between cost-effectiveness and cost-saving of cares.

2011年9月25日

My favorite four HEALTH ECONOMISTS

Guy David, genius, I love his research.

David Meltzer, technically he is not so much young, but is still. Both Dav have particular interests in specialization. 

Almond, I have been attracted by issues with health shock and big famine. 

Chandra, so brilliant, "malpractice" expert, and be good at almost every field of health economics.

2011年9月4日

Intro to CCS for ICD-10


The Clinical Classifications Software (CCS) for ICD-10 is a diagnosis categorization scheme that can be employed in many types of projects analyzing data on diagnoses. This tool is based on the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10), a uniform and standardized coding system, which has been used in the U.S. for mortality reporting since 1999. The ICD-10's multitude of codes – more than 32,000 diagnosis codes in all – are collapsed into a smaller number of clinically meaningful categories (only 260 types) that are sometimes more useful for presenting descriptive statistics than are individual ICD-10-CM codes. 

CCS ICD-10 categories can be employed in many types of projects analyzing data on diagnoses. For example, they can be used to:
  • Identify populations for disease-specific studies
  • Gain a better understanding of the distribution of certain conditions across disease groupings
  • Examine trends in mortality by broad diagnosis groupings.

Useful links:

2011年8月29日

Links: 8/29/2011


China vs. America: Which Is the Developing Country? -- From new roads to wise leadership, sound financials and 5-year plans, China has a winning approach. BY ROBERT J. HERBOLD,  From: Wall Street Journal 这位罗伯特是微软的前首席COO,是不是商人做久了就跟当官久了一样?尽信表面不如不信。文章sounds true, but funny and ironical. 


"当医生不知道一个检查、一片药丸要多少钱的时候,医改就成功了。至于民众是否看得起病,那就是保障体系建设的问题了。"某L厅长说。--------这个命题,很显然,是非常错误的,医生能有效掌控卫生系统80%的卫生费用(有US的实证依据),你怎么能指望他们不管成本?还有最重要的证据是英国正在进行的医改--成立全科医师联盟,并撤销原有的NHS信托机构(卫生费用的守门人,原来是由他们和医生打交道并付费),将其掌握病人费用的权力交给全科医生,这也重重的抽了这位自以为是不学无术的厅长大人一记耳光。


we need to always remember that data and statistical tests never prove a theory. Typically, many different theories can explain almost any observed phenomenon. Data  allows us only to reject a theory. The theories that survive are those that haven't been rejected yet, and that's a good reason for humility.  ---The Role of Economics in an Imperfect World, by Edward Glaeser